Braves streak again, drop 4 in a row in 3-4 week

The Braves went on the road to face two NL West teams and return home 3-4 on the trip, despite getting two starts each from Smoltz and Hudson.  The trade deadline is tomorrow afternoon, and the Braves are the frontrunner to haul in Mark Teixeira, so even though today’s an off-day, there’s still plenty to talk about in Braves Country.

This Week’s Stats

Scores and FanGraphs game summaries:

7/23: Braves 4, Giants 2
7/24: Braves 7, Giants 5
7/25: Giants 2, Braves 1
7/26: Giants 4, Braves 2
7/27: D-Backs 8, Braves 7
7/28: D-Backs 4, Braves 3
7/29: Braves 14, D-Backs 0

Stats for the week alone:

Hitting PA OPS pLI WPA WPA/LI Clutch CP pWPA pWPA/LI pClutch pCP
Yunel Escobar 18 1.089 1.20 +0.154 +0.073 +0.081 +0.066 +0.86 +0.41 +0.45 +0.37
John Smoltz 6 0.367 1.09 +0.039 -0.038 +0.077 +0.081 +0.65 -0.64 +1.29 +1.34
Julio Franco 24 0.893 1.08 +0.031 +0.125 -0.094 -0.104 +0.13 +0.52 -0.39 -0.43
Willie Harris 27 0.816 0.98 +0.011 -0.148 +0.159 +0.157 +0.04 -0.55 +0.59 +0.58
Chris Woodward 6 0.733 1.40 +0.005 -0.034 +0.039 +0.053 +0.08 -0.57 +0.66 +0.89
Peter Moylan 1 0.000 0.00 +0.000 +0.000 +0.000 +0.000 +0.00 +0.00 +0.00 +0.00
Jo-Jo Reyes 1 0.000 0.27 -0.006 -0.022 +0.016 +0.000 -0.60 -2.22 +1.62 +0.00
Tim Hudson 8 0.500 0.37 -0.014 -0.100 +0.086 +0.023 -0.18 -1.26 +1.08 +0.29
Edgar Renteria 30 0.747 1.18 -0.021 +0.002 -0.023 -0.023 -0.07 +0.01 -0.08 -0.08
Andruw Jones 31 0.787 1.04 -0.030 -0.097 +0.067 +0.072 -0.10 -0.31 +0.22 +0.23
Chipper Jones 29 0.845 0.99 -0.052 +0.087 -0.139 -0.138 -0.18 +0.30 -0.48 -0.47
Chuck James 2 0.000 1.37 -0.067 -0.049 -0.018 +0.000 -3.35 -2.46 -0.89 +0.02
Scott Thorman 7 1.429 0.72 -0.084 -0.040 -0.044 -0.055 -1.20 -0.57 -0.63 -0.79
Buddy Carlyle 2 0.000 1.13 -0.088 -0.071 -0.017 -0.008 -4.40 -3.54 -0.86 -0.42
Matt Diaz 14 0.445 1.37 -0.091 -0.073 -0.018 +0.010 -0.65 -0.52 -0.13 +0.07
Jeff Francoeur 32 0.975 1.13 -0.155 +0.047 -0.202 -0.208 -0.48 +0.15 -0.63 -0.65
Brian McCann 28 0.536 1.06 -0.180 -0.254 +0.074 +0.090 -0.64 -0.91 +0.26 +0.32
Jarrod Saltalamacchia 4 0.500 2.32 -0.194 -0.065 -0.129 -0.043 -4.85 -1.63 -3.22 -1.07
Kelly Johnson 26 0.656 1.14 -0.370 -0.057 -0.313 -0.305 -1.42 -0.22 -1.20 -1.17
Totals 296 0.764 1.09 -1.112 -0.716 -0.396 -0.332 -0.38 -0.24 -0.13 -0.11
Total Pitching IP ERA pLI WPA WPA/LI Clutch CP pWPA pWPA/LI pClutch pCP
Peter Moylan 5.3 0.00 1.69 +0.622 +0.302 +0.320 +0.111 +3.27 +1.59 +1.68 +0.58
Tim Hudson 15.7 1.72 0.57 +0.437 +0.545 -0.108 +0.129 +0.75 +0.94 -0.19 +0.22
Rafael Soriano 3.0 0.00 1.98 +0.379 +0.154 +0.225 +0.073 +4.21 +1.72 +2.50 +0.81
John Smoltz 14.0 2.57 1.07 +0.379 +0.160 +0.219 +0.208 +0.66 +0.28 +0.38 +0.36
Oscar Villarreal 4.0 0.00 1.31 +0.327 +0.124 +0.203 +0.165 +1.82 +0.69 +1.13 +0.92
Chuck James 6.0 3.00 1.11 +0.066 -0.031 +0.097 +0.100 +0.25 -0.12 +0.37 +0.38
Jose Ascanio 1.0 0.00 0.01 +0.000 +0.000 +0.000 +0.000 +0.00 +0.00 +0.00 +0.00
Tyler Yates 2.0 4.50 2.66 -0.032 -0.080 +0.048 +0.180 -0.25 -0.61 +0.37 +1.39
Chad Paronto 3.0 0.00 0.71 -0.200 +0.057 -0.257 -0.240 -1.54 +0.44 -1.98 -1.85
Buddy Carlyle 5.7 6.35 1.22 -0.243 -0.019 -0.224 -0.220 -0.90 -0.07 -0.83 -0.82
Jo-Jo Reyes 4.0 15.75 0.53 -0.336 -0.532 +0.196 -0.052 -1.60 -2.54 +0.94 -0.25
Bob Wickman 2.3 3.86 1.79 -0.357 -0.059 -0.298 -0.252 -3.25 -0.53 -2.71 -2.29
Wil Ledezma 0.3 27.00 1.30 -0.420 -0.226 -0.194 -0.126 -10.50 -5.66 -4.84 -3.15
Totals 66.3 3.12 1.10 +0.622 +0.396 +0.226 +0.075 +0.22 +0.14 +0.08 +0.03
Relief Pitching G IP TBF gmLI G/T tG/T USG
Rafael Soriano 2 3.0 9 2.06 1.27 1.24 -0.04
Peter Moylan 4 5.3 19 1.60 0.99 1.22 0.23
Oscar Villarreal 3 4.0 18 1.69 1.05 1.07 0.02
Chad Paronto 3 3.0 13 1.74 1.08 1.02 -0.05
Jose Ascanio 1 1.0 4 0.02 0.01 0.95 0.94
Bob Wickman 3 2.3 11 1.24 0.77 0.86 0.09
Tyler Yates 3 2.0 13 2.01 1.25 0.85 -0.40
Wil Ledezma 2 0.3 4 1.67 1.03 0.00 -1.03
Totals 21 21.0 91 1.61 6

And the season totals:

Hitting PA OPS pLI WPA WPA/LI Clutch CP pWPA pWPA/LI pClutch pCP
Chipper Jones 365 1.022 1.00 +2.024 +2.443 -0.419 -0.410 +0.55 +0.67 -0.11 -0.11
Edgar Renteria 449 0.869 0.96 +1.542 +1.719 -0.177 -0.116 +0.34 +0.38 -0.04 -0.03
Kelly Johnson 407 0.861 0.95 +1.478 +1.848 -0.370 -0.269 +0.36 +0.45 -0.09 -0.07
Yunel Escobar 151 0.760 0.98 +1.464 +0.482 +0.982 +0.990 +0.97 +0.32 +0.65 +0.66
Willie Harris 239 0.827 0.98 +0.570 +0.128 +0.442 +0.445 +0.24 +0.05 +0.19 +0.19
Brian McCann 345 0.761 1.07 +0.148 -0.892 +1.040 +1.102 +0.04 -0.26 +0.30 +0.32
Jeff Francoeur 454 0.779 0.99 +0.079 -0.216 +0.295 +0.292 +0.02 -0.05 +0.06 +0.06
Tyler Yates 1 0.000 0.03 -0.001 -0.033 +0.032 +0.000 -0.10 -3.33 +3.23 +0.00
Jo-Jo Reyes 9 0.508 0.94 -0.012 -0.035 +0.023 +0.021 -0.13 -0.39 +0.25 +0.23
Lance Cormier 2 0.500 0.58 -0.017 +0.008 -0.025 -0.021 -0.85 +0.39 -1.24 -1.07
Peter Moylan 5 0.200 0.55 -0.047 -0.051 +0.004 -0.019 -0.94 -1.02 +0.08 -0.38
Anthony Lerew 3 0.000 0.88 -0.072 -0.081 +0.009 -0.001 -2.40 -2.70 +0.30 -0.02
Matt Diaz 237 0.827 0.93 -0.075 +0.623 -0.698 -0.655 -0.03 +0.26 -0.29 -0.28
Oscar Villarreal 3 0.000 0.81 -0.077 -0.087 +0.010 -0.006 -2.57 -2.91 +0.35 -0.20
Mark Redman 6 0.167 1.05 -0.103 -0.090 -0.013 -0.009 -1.72 -1.50 -0.21 -0.15
Buddy Carlyle 25 0.256 0.96 -0.210 -0.318 +0.108 +0.094 -0.84 -1.27 +0.43 +0.38
Martin Prado 30 0.412 0.93 -0.240 -0.286 +0.046 +0.026 -0.80 -0.95 +0.15 +0.09
Julio Franco 37 0.658 1.06 -0.311 -0.046 -0.265 -0.262 -0.84 -0.13 -0.72 -0.71
Craig Wilson 69 0.563 0.93 -0.441 -0.345 -0.096 -0.119 -0.64 -0.50 -0.14 -0.17
John Smoltz 40 0.252 0.82 -0.474 -0.638 +0.164 +0.047 -1.19 -1.60 +0.41 +0.12
Tim Hudson 56 0.450 0.72 -0.486 -0.508 +0.022 -0.121 -0.87 -0.91 +0.04 -0.22
Brayan Pena 23 0.565 1.42 -0.507 -0.304 -0.203 -0.076 -2.20 -1.32 -0.88 -0.33
Chuck James 44 0.382 0.89 -0.507 -0.531 +0.024 -0.032 -1.15 -1.21 +0.05 -0.07
Kyle Davies 30 0.579 1.05 -0.516 -0.162 -0.354 -0.347 -1.72 -0.54 -1.18 -1.16
Pete Orr 58 0.403 0.59 -0.598 -0.549 -0.049 -0.271 -1.03 -0.95 -0.08 -0.47
Jarrod Saltalamacchia 153 0.745 1.11 -0.711 -0.273 -0.438 -0.408 -0.46 -0.18 -0.29 -0.27
Ryan Langerhans 52 0.283 0.88 -0.737 -0.946 +0.209 +0.097 -1.42 -1.82 +0.40 +0.19
Andruw Jones 452 0.751 1.09 -0.871 -0.374 -0.497 -0.464 -0.19 -0.08 -0.11 -0.10
Scott Thorman 272 0.663 0.91 -0.872 -0.490 -0.382 -0.428 -0.32 -0.18 -0.14 -0.16
Chris Woodward 118 0.561 1.04 -0.888 -0.876 -0.012 +0.019 -0.75 -0.74 -0.01 +0.02
Totals 4135 0.761 0.98 -1.468 -0.882 -0.586 -0.901 -0.04 -0.02 -0.01 -0.02
Total Pitching IP ERA pLI WPA WPA/LI Clutch CP pWPA pWPA/LI pClutch pCP
Peter Moylan 57.3 2.04 0.72 +2.186 +0.847 +1.339 +1.579 +0.95 +0.37 +0.58 +0.69
John Smoltz 126.7 2.84 1.10 +1.849 +1.615 +0.234 +0.079 +0.35 +0.30 +0.04 +0.01
Tim Hudson 151.7 3.09 0.92 +1.774 +2.826 -1.052 -0.832 +0.29 +0.46 -0.17 -0.14
Rafael Soriano 46.0 3.52 1.21 +1.548 +0.800 +0.748 +0.582 +0.87 +0.45 +0.42 +0.33
Chuck James 116.7 3.55 1.03 +1.522 +0.476 +1.046 +1.030 +0.30 +0.09 +0.21 +0.20
Mike Gonzalez 17.0 1.06 0.99 +0.738 +0.413 +0.325 +0.331 +1.05 +0.59 +0.46 +0.47
Macay McBride 15.0 4.20 0.35 +0.122 -0.050 +0.172 +0.139 +0.16 -0.07 +0.23 +0.19
Blaine Boyer 5.3 3.38 0.44 +0.062 -0.098 +0.160 +0.105 +0.24 -0.38 +0.61 +0.40
Buddy Carlyle 65.7 4.25 0.88 +0.045 +0.625 -0.580 -0.506 +0.02 +0.23 -0.22 -0.19
Tyler Yates 44.3 5.28 1.09 +0.017 -0.026 +0.043 +0.046 +0.01 -0.01 +0.02 +0.02
Kevin Barry 2.0 22.50 0.02 -0.007 -0.230 +0.223 -0.003 -0.05 -1.64 +1.59 -0.02
Joey Devine 3.0 3.00 0.20 -0.023 +0.035 -0.058 -0.030 -0.16 +0.25 -0.42 -0.22
Oscar Villarreal 58.3 3.70 0.69 -0.025 +0.249 -0.274 -0.197 -0.01 +0.10 -0.11 -0.08
Chad Paronto 40.3 3.57 0.63 -0.120 -0.364 +0.244 +0.111 -0.07 -0.20 +0.14 +0.06
Jose Ascanio 6.0 1.50 1.20 -0.255 +0.150 -0.405 -0.435 -0.94 +0.56 -1.50 -1.61
Anthony Lerew 11.7 7.71 0.88 -0.343 -0.534 +0.191 +0.126 -0.60 -0.94 +0.34 +0.22
Wil Ledezma 9.3 7.71 0.54 -0.421 -0.357 -0.064 -0.230 -0.94 -0.79 -0.14 -0.51
Bob Wickman 36.3 4.21 1.97 -0.436 -0.007 -0.429 -0.422 -0.26 -0.00 -0.26 -0.25
Steve Colyer 3.7 4.91 0.98 -0.537 -0.309 -0.228 -0.235 -2.44 -1.40 -1.04 -1.07
Lance Cormier 7.7 15.26 0.76 -0.633 -1.051 +0.418 +0.165 -1.51 -2.50 +0.99 +0.39
Jo-Jo Reyes 18.7 8.20 0.97 -0.686 -0.702 +0.016 -0.006 -0.80 -0.82 +0.02 -0.01
Mark Redman 21.7 11.63 0.94 -1.293 -1.239 -0.054 -0.132 -1.11 -1.07 -0.05 -0.11
Kyle Davies 86.0 5.76 0.98 -1.659 -1.037 -0.622 -0.640 -0.43 -0.27 -0.16 -0.16
Totals 950.3 4.11 0.97 +3.425 +2.032 +1.393 +0.624 +0.08 +0.05 +0.03 +0.02
Relief Pitching G IP TBF gmLI G/T tG/T USG
Mike Gonzalez 18 17.0 70 1.04 0.99 1.31 0.32
Jose Ascanio 4 6.0 27 0.61 0.58 1.29 0.71
Rafael Soriano 47 46.0 177 1.50 1.43 1.23 -0.20
Peter Moylan 46 57.3 230 0.81 0.77 1.18 0.41
Joey Devine 3 3.0 14 0.17 0.17 1.11 0.95
Buddy Carlyle 1 1.0 4 0.58 0.55 1.10 0.55
Oscar Villarreal 38 58.3 248 0.90 0.86 1.02 0.16
Bob Wickman 41 36.3 167 1.56 1.48 0.96 -0.52
Tyler Yates 50 44.3 200 1.16 1.10 0.96 -0.15
Macay McBride 18 15.0 75 0.66 0.63 0.92 0.30
Chad Paronto 41 40.3 180 0.82 0.78 0.84 0.07
Blaine Boyer 5 5.3 26 0.44 0.42 0.74 0.33
Wil Ledezma 12 9.3 45 0.71 0.68 0.50 -0.18
Mark Redman 1 1.3 10 0.45 0.43 0.34 -0.09
Steve Colyer 7 3.7 22 1.01 0.97 0.14 -0.83
Kevin Barry 1 2.0 14 0.03 0.03 0.00 -0.03
Totals 333 346.3 1509 1.05 93

Best plays of the week:

  1. Edgar Renteria hit a 2-run double off Jonathan Sanchez, giving the Braves a 6-4 lead in the 13th inning of Tuesday’s game against the Giants (+.418).
  2. Willie Harris hit an RBI single off Jose Valverde, tying Friday’s game at 7 in the 9th inning (+.310).
  3. Jeff Francoeur doubled off Brad Hennessey to lead off the 9th inning in Wednesday’s 2-1 loss (+.196).
  4. Jeff Francoeur hit a 2-run homer off Tim Lincecum, giving the Braves a 2-0 lead in the 4th inning of Thursday’s game (+.186).
  5. Tyler Yates struck out Fred Lewis with the bases loaded in the 13th inning of Tuesday’s game, preserving a 7-5 lead for the victory (+.180).

Comments

It was an exciting week of baseball, but honestly I didn’t watch very much of it.  With most of the games occurring late or while I had other commitments, I only caught a few innings all week.

It was not a kind week to most of the Braves’ hitters, as tends to be the case when you play extra-inning games.  Kelly Johnson gave back 1/5 of his season total WPA with a -.370 week that was mostly based on a couple of missed clutch opportunities.  Salty was the next worst at -.194, and he only had four plate appearances, getting a single in one of them.  McCann and Francoeur were both below -.150, despite Francoeur appearing twice in the above leaderboard for clutch hits.  Only Yunel Escobar had a significantly positive week, going 7-for-15 with 2 walks, 1 HBP, and a steal.  It wasn’t a terrible week for most of the regulars that I haven’t already mentioned (Renteria .310/.333/.414, for example), but it wasn’t great for anyone, either.

The hitting leaderboard now goes 1) Chipper, 2) Renteria, 3) Johnson, with Escobar ready to overtake at any time now.  Willie Harris also remains above average.  Diaz, Francoeur, and McCann are the middling regulars, despite McCann’s overall struggles (.313 OBP!) and Diaz’ great hitting (.341/.363/.464).  How many guys remain backups despite hitting .333 in basically a full season’s worth of at-bats over two years?  Matt Diaz is finding out right now…

On the pitching side, Peter Moylan again finds his name at the top of the WPA leaderboard this week after 5 2/3 nearly-perfect innings of work.  I honestly don’t understand how his arm is still attached and functioning properly, while the rest of the Braves’ relievers are falling apart.  Perhaps it’s “were falling apart,” though, because Soriano pitched three scoreless innings of his own this week.  Villarreal and Ascanio also did not allow any runs.

Ledezma was DFA’d after allowing two runs (one earned) in a third of an inning.  That trade turned out quite well for the Braves.  Yates and Wickman each had their struggles, giving up a run apiece in 4 1/3 total innings.

Smoltz and Hudson predictably provided four solid starts, with each giving up three runs in one outing while having a separate dominant start.  Hudson probably could have gone the whole way yesterday, but with a virtually insurmountable lead, Bobby pulled him at the 80-pitch mark, after 7 efficient innings.

Jo-Jo Reyes pleaded the Braves to trade for a starter instead of an expensive first baseman by allowing 7 runs in just 4 innings on Friday.  Buddy Carlyle couldn’t make it through the sixth on Thursday, allowing four runs in his start.  James was solid on Wednesday, allowing two runs in six innings.  That marks his fifth straight net-positive start (and 9th in his last 11).  He’s sitting on a very impressive (but probably a bit lucky) 3.55 ERA right now.

The Road Ahead

I’m having trouble looking beyond the trade deadline myself (4 PM tomorrow), but the Braves will play some games this week at home against the Astros and Rockies.  Here are the probable pitchers:

Tuesday: James vs. Chris Sampson
Wednesday: Carlyle vs. Wandy Rodriguez
Thursday: Reyes vs. TBA
Friday: Smoltz vs. Jeff Francis
Saturday: Hudson vs. Ubaldo Jimenez
Sunday: James vs. Aaron Cook

I may have something else for you this afternoon, but if not, I’ll certainly check in after any big trades go down.

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2 thoughts on “Braves streak again, drop 4 in a row in 3-4 week

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