I don’t have a lot of commentary right now since I’m on vacation (spring training is pretty cool, you know), but I have made my NCAA Tournament picks and computed the Log5 win probabilities based on KenPom’s rankings. See below. There are actually five brackets there (my ESPN entries), but #1 is the one I […]
Tag: log5
Log5 for the D-II South Region
I’ve probably exhausted analysis of the NCAA D-II South Regional tournament field as a whole by now, but I do have the log5 predicted outcomes. The Pythagorean win percentages, ratings, and ranks are courtesy of a simple ratings formula implemented by Doug Sparks (“Ratings” are on a linear scale based on points, and “Ranks” are […]
GSC Quarterfinal Recap and Updated Log5
Note for those using feed readers: You probably will not see the tables in this post. Click through for the full detail. Friday had little drama at the GSC Tournament, except for one game, and there were no upsets. Let’s get into the recaps, starting with Harding’s game. #1W Harding 73, #5W Arkansas Tech 51 […]
GSC Tournament updated log5, stats, and quick recaps
The opening round games were last night, and everything went pretty much as expected. That’s bad news, at least relatively speaking, for the favorites, who suffer slightly in the updated Log5 predictions because of the increasing quality of their potential opponents. Some quick recaps: #5W Arkansas Tech 65, #4E Alabama-Huntsville 49 The Chargers bowed out […]
GSC Tournament Log5 Predictions
Here are each team’s chances of winning the GSC Tournament, courtesy of the Log5 method: A few notes: Christian Brothers has been the best team in the GSC West by point differential, so that and their #2 seed gave them an edge over Harding, despite the tougher quarterfinal matchup. Even though UAH beat the Bisons […]
Weekly Notes: February 21, 2008
I didn’t do any notes last week, so here’s what’s going on: Let’s start with a quick comment or two on today’s big NYT story about John McCain’s relationship with a lobbyist: I don’t much care about the adultery angle, nor do I think this was a sinister plot by the Times to destroy the […]
The Final Four are set
Whoops, it looks like I never got around to posting the log5 probabilities for the Elite 8, and Kenpom has them now for the Final Four. Florida’s looking like the favorite, but we have a pretty evenly-matched group. I guess that’s what happens when there are two one-seeds and two two-seeds (which at least is […]
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