I don’t have a lot of commentary right now since I’m on vacation (spring training is pretty cool, you know), but I have made my NCAA Tournament picks and computed the Log5 win probabilities based on KenPom’s rankings.
See below. There are actually five brackets there (my ESPN entries), but #1 is the one I would consider my main bracket. My picks are highlighted in yellow. Numbers represent the team’s probability of winning in a given round according to KenPom.
http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=p1yenOyDW3pVKoND16L0jQQ&output=html&widget=true
jfwiii.net 