My final ranking of the Division-II South Region teams, through games of March 4, 2007:
|2||2||Florida Gulf Coast||IND||27-6||21-3||0-0|
|11||13||Fort Valley State||SIAC||18-12||17-9||17-8|
Conference vs. Conference
I have separated Florida Gulf Coast from the rest of the independents below in order to give teams a little more credit for playing FGCU (a very good team) than the other independents (all very bad teams).
Final Conference Tournament/Ranking Analysis
It looks like we had a shocker in the SIAC, which was about the worst possible situation for the GSC teams that were on the bubble. The ridiculous SIAC regular season is so long that their teams (for the most part) don’t play credible in-region, non-conference games. So, we had possibly overrated Benedict already a lock, and it was their job not to let any other SIAC teams in the NCAAs. Alas, they failed, allowing 16-15 Albany State into the tournament field.
The question is, do we know which team is out because Albany is in? My guess is that Christian Brothers would have made it instead. In fact, they probably should have made it over Valdosta State, since they had a superior overall and in-region record, and they had a more consistently good season. Really, Florida Gulf Coast should be the school that’s complaining over this one. I think they’re possibly the second-best team in the region, but apparently their 21-3 in-region record as an independent wasn’t enough for an at-large berth. Unless they’re on some sort of NCAA probation list (entirely possible), they should have been a lock.
As for the seeds, Montevallo is a deserving #1, but everything breaks down after that. Rollins may only be the third best team in the SSC, but they got the #2 seed. Benedict is an okay 3-seed, even though we have no idea how good they are, and Barry is a decent enough 4-seed. Henderson State as a five seems pretty high to me; I guess they got bonus points for winning the division and reaching the GSC tournament final game. Eckerd’s #6 seed is a bit low, since they could be the best team in the SSC, plus they won the conference tournament. They’ll face Benedict in what might be an unlucky first-round matchup for them. Valdosta State should not have been in the field, but they are the #7 seed. Then we have fluke SIAC champ Albany State as the #8 seed, which should be a good way to reward Montevallo for a solid GSC run.
Last Week’s Games
|2/25||Flagler||59||Florida Gulf Coast||79|
|2/26||North Georgia College & State||62||Florida Gulf Coast||99|
|2/27||Central State||78||Florida Gulf Coast||82|
|2/28||West Georgia||86||Ouachita Baptist||72|
|2/28||Florida Southern||62||Florida Tech||64|
|2/28||Clark Atlanta||43||Albany State||67|
|3/2||Miles||59||Fort Valley State||72|
|3/2||North Alabama||78||Christian Brothers||71|
|3/3||Kentucky State||70||Fort Valley State||86|
|3/4||Albany State||54||Fort Valley State||50|